Quote:
Originally Posted by clueless
Will you please write a little more about this?
|
Chance can be calculated in a discipline called Statistics.
However human beings are poor at judging chance intuitively.
So to know the chance of something happening, we need to work it out in Statistics.
Statistics have been very successful in creating Quantum Mechanics, our most accurate scientific theory.
And because we are bad at judging chance intuitively, we are very liable to make misjudgements and think things are connected when they are not.
I've just seen a movie called Kung Fu Panda, where the Kung Fu Master keeps saying there are no accidents. But the Kung Fu Master did not know Statistics. For Statistics can tell us accurately when something is an accident and when something is not an accident.